装备战场抢修能力预测混合算法  

Hybrid Method for Evaluating the Support Capability of Battlefield Emergency Maintenance of Equipment

作　　者：周文明[1,2] 范踊跃 张春荣 宋吉星[4] 

机构地区：[1]后勤学院模拟训练中心 [2]国防大学军事后勤与军事科技装备教研部 [3]第二炮兵后勤部物资油料部 [4]中国人民解放军96265部队

出　　处：《四川兵工学报》2014年第11期54-59,共6页Journal of Sichuan Ordnance

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金资助(201150M1560);武器装备预研基金项目(9140A27070109JB05)

摘　　要：分析了信息化条件下战场抢修的主要影响因素,研究了各环节的特点和规律,提出了运用备件保障能力算法、排队网络、层次分析法、模糊综合评判等相结合的方法,分别计算备件保障、战损修理能力、机动能力、人员素质等对战场抢修的影响程度,用指数法建立了战场抢修能力预测模型,给出了计算实例,验证了算法的实用性和合理性,为战场抢修指挥决策和模拟仿真系统的优化设计提供理论依据。Main influencing factors of battlefield emergency maintenance of equipment in information-based war are analyzed. Characteristics and laws of battlefield emergency maintenance of equipment are studied. The incidences of spare parts support, maintenance facility and equipment, maneuver margin and person- nel on battlefield emergency maintenance of equipment are calculated by calculating the support capability of spare parts, queuing theory, analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. The predic- tion estimation model of battlefield emergency of equipment is established based on index method. A simu- lation example of evaluation is presented. Validity and practicability of the comprehensive method is veri- fied, and it strongly support command, decision making and system optimum design of battlefield emergen- cy maintenance of equipment.

关 键 词：战场抢修 备件保障 指数法 排队网络 模糊综合评判 

分 类 号：O211.67[理学—概率论与数理统计]