利益偏好与中国工业贸易条件恶化——基于我国工业行业的面板数据分析  

Interest Preference and China's Industrial Terms of Trade:Using Panel Data of China's Industries

作　　者：甘梅霞[1] 杨小勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学马克思主义学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2014年第12期65-70,86,共6页World Economy Studies

摘　　要：本文从贸易政治经济学视角出发,在分析一国利益偏好对贸易条件影响机制的基础上,利用2002~2011年中国各工业行业的面板数据进行实证分析。结果表明,“国家战略主义”即对生产者利益的偏好大于对消费者利益的偏好是我国工业行业贸易条件恶化的重要原因。代表国家战略利益的利税贡献、影响力系数以及代表生产者利益的国企利润、关税税率成为解释中国工业贸易条件普遍恶化的显著变量。Deterioration of term of trade is supposed to have negative impact on trade competitiveness.Reasons for the deterioration of China's terms of trade have been studied from economic perspectives in the existing literatures.This paper studies the effect of interest preference on China's industrial terms of trade from the viewpoint of political economy with penal data of China' s different industries from 2002 to 2011.Results show that state's-strategic interest,producer interest and consumer interest have significant impact on China's terms of trade.Taxes contribution and,influence coefficient,are both on behalf of state's-strategic interest.At the same time,profit of state-owned enterprises,and tariff rate,are both on behalf of producer interest.These,are significant explanatory variables accounting for the deterioration of China's industrial terms of trade.

关 键 词：利益偏好 工业贸易条件 面板数据 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] F752