人口流动及家庭结构变迁:养老服务何去何从  

Labor Flux and Family Scale Shrinking How to Deliver Aged-care——Social Ecology of Aged-care Reshaped

作　　者：伍德安 杨翠迎[1] 沈亦骏[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院

出　　处：《中国人力资源开发》2014年第23期87-93,共7页Human Resources Development of China

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(12JZD035);上海市浦江人才计划项目(13PJC054);上海财经大学2014年研究生创新基金项目(CXJJ-2014-419)资助

摘　　要：养老经济保障主要通过养老保险制度来解决,而养老服务保障目前还缺乏良好的制度安排。在人口快速流动及家庭结构小型化的现代老龄社会,养老服务保障亟需科学的解决方案。本文引用生态理念,基于传统家庭养老及代际经济学的视角,扩展莫迪利安尼生命周期假设(LCH)模型,建立世代交叠赡养模型;模型阐述了在养老服务面临服务需求膨胀、资金、资源不足的现实困境下,传统家庭养老生态功能蜕化的必然趋势;并进一步根据调查数据,提出构建以子女赡养经济补偿为基础、以照护基金为依托,服务提供商品化、产业化、社会化的制度创想。Economic security of aged-care depends on pension system, but service security system is on vacant. Population flowing fast and family scale shrinking, modern service of the aged demands a great solution. From a perspective of ecology, especially from traditional family-care and generations economics, this article enlarges LCH(Life Cycle Hypothesis), establishes a multiple generations parents supporting module, via which it illustrates the frustrating problems of aged-care, embracing service demands inflating, service resources and funds shorting, and family support system threatened. Based on survey data, it promotes a newel of aged-care delivering industrialization, on a basis of financial compensation for supporting parents by monetizing children care duties, to reconsolidate current service security system economically.

关 键 词：经济保障 服务保障 世代交叠赡养模型 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学] D669.6[政治法律—政治学]