物流业发展与区域经济及产业结构调整的关联分析  

A Comparative Study on the Logistics Industry and Industrial Structure

作　　者：王文铭[1] 殷凤朝[1] 满影[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,青岛266555

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2014年第6期1217-1220,共4页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(批准号:14CX06032B);山东省社科基金项目(批准号:13CJJZ0)资助

摘　　要：基于计量经济学的方法,建立了一个区域物流能力与三次产业结构之间相互作用的分析框架,通过协整理论与格兰杰因果检验方法的综合运用,研究了物流业的发展作用于经济增长、产业结构调整的内在机制,发现现代物流业的发展与三次产业经济的优化之间存在互动关系,山东省物流业的发展对于促进区域经济发展、带动区域产业结构转型升级具有重要作用.Based on econometric methods,an analytical framework that allows the interaction between the regional logistics capability and the thrice industrial structure has been set up.Through the comprehensive application of the co-integration theory and Granger causal relation test,the internal mechanism of how the development of logistics industry affects the economic growth and the industrial structural adjustment has been studied,and the interactive relations between the development of modern logistics industry and the optimization of the industry economy have been discovered.The development of logistics industry in Shandong province plays an important role in the promotion of regional economic development and the transformation and upgrading of the regional industrial structure.

关 键 词：物流业 产业结构 协整理论 格兰杰因果关系检验 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]