中国对新兴经济体出口扩张的供需分解——以“E11”为例  

An Analysis of Supply and Demand in the Expansion of Chinese Exports to Emerging Economies: Taking “E11”as an Example

作　　者：霍伟东[1] 陈若愚[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学国际商学院,四川成都611130

出　　处：《山西大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2015年第1期100-106,共7页Journal of Shanxi University(Philosophy and Social Science Edition)

基　　金："四川省高校科研创新团队:人民币区与自由贸易区战略研究"(JBK130504)

摘　　要：新兴经济体之间贸易合作的加强是新兴经济体在金融危机下对世界经济影响加深的主要原因。其中,中国对新兴经济体出口的快速增长表现尤为抢眼。文章将市场潜力和二元边际纳入出口扩张模型,运用2002-2011年间中国及主要新兴经济体国家的相关经济指标,从供给和需求两个角度考察中国对新兴经济体出口快速扩张的机理。实证研究发现:需求方面,中国国内市场潜力以及新兴经济体国内市场潜力对其出口扩张均有正向促进作用,这一点正印证了"本地市场效应";供给方面,内延边际和外延边际分别作为价格和数量的代理变量进入模型,很好地说明了中国的出口供给能力对其出口扩张的促进作用。The main reason that the impact of emerging economies on the world economy under the financial crisis has become greater is the increased trade cooperation between emerging economies. The rapid growth of Chinese exports to emerging economies is particularly eye - catching. In this paper, the author puts the market potential and the binary margin into export expansion model and uses related economic indicators of China and major emerging economies during 2002 - 2011 to research the mechanism of rapid expansion of exports to emerging economies from such two aspets as supply and demand. The empirical study has found that： on the demand side, the domestic market potentials of both China and the emerging economies have a positive role in promoting export expansion, which just confirms the ＂Home Market Effect＂ ;on the supply side, intensive margin and external margin, respectively as the variables of price and quantity, get into the export expansion model,which illustrates China＇ s export supply ability can boost its export expansion.

关 键 词：“E11” 出口扩张 市场潜力 二元边际 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]