农村人口流动对区域经济发展贡献实证分析——以河南省为例  

An Empirical Analysis of the Contribution of Rural Population Flow to Regional Economic Growth——Taking Henan Province as an Example

作　　者：王青[1] 焦青霞[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学经济学院,沈阳110136 [2]河南财经政法大学,郑州450000

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2014年第20期5033-5037,共5页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学基金项目(L12AJL004);河南省人民哲学社会科学规划项目(2011FSH008)

摘　　要：利用劳动力流动效应模型测度了农村劳动力流动对区域经济发展的贡献,并利用灰色关联度测度了不同类型农村流动人口与经济发展的相关性。结果表明,1进入新世纪以来,中国农村劳动力流动对经济发展贡献显著,对经济增长的平均贡献率达14.7%,但随着时间的推移,农村劳动力流动对经济增长的贡献呈现先增大而后又减小的变化趋势;2区域外流入人口对经济发展的贡献低于区域内流动人口,区域内农村劳动力流动对经济发展的贡献与区域外农村劳动力流动对经济发展的贡献相当,区域外城镇流动人口对经济发展的贡献低于区域内城镇流动人口对经济发展的贡献。The labor flow effect model was used to measure the contribution of rural labor flow to the regional economic development.The grey theory was used to measure the correlation between different types of rural flow population and economy development.Results showed that the contribution of labor flow to economic development was very obvious since the beginning of the new century,with the mean of 14.7％.It increased first and then decreased with the changes of time.The contribution of the inflow population to economic growth was lower than that of internal flow population.The contribution of the inflow rural labor and the internal flow rural labor flow to economic growth was basically same.The contribution of the inflow urban labor to economic growth was lower than that of the internal floating urban labor.

关 键 词：农村人口流动 区域经济增长 灰色关联度 劳动力流动效应模型 

分 类 号：F127.61[经济管理—世界经济] F241