茄科作物新病原Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum入侵我国的风险分析  

Analysis of Invasion Risk of New Pathogen Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum Associated with Diseases of Solanaceous Crops to China

作　　者：王茹琳 高晓清[2] 姜淦 王闫利 沈沾红 林姗 

机构地区：[1]四川省农村经济综合信息中心,四川成都610072 [2]南通出入境检验检疫局,江苏南通226004

出　　处：《江西农业学报》2015年第1期42-46,共5页Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi

基　　金：中国气象局2012年业务专项;四川省农村经济综合信息中心业务技术攻关课题"两种水稻害虫适生区分析和相关气象指标研究"(农信课题201403)

摘　　要：从传入和定殖可能性两方面分析了为害茄科作物的新病原Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum入侵我国的风险性,并利用Max Ent模型预测了其在我国的潜在适生区。结果表明:该病原菌传入和定殖于中国的风险极高;重庆、陕西大部、贵州北部、四川东部、河南大部以及山东半岛等地区为该病原菌入侵的高风险区。因此我国应加强对该病原菌的检疫工作,实行严格的风险管理。The invasion risk of new pathogen Candidatus Liberibacter solanacearum associated with the diseases of solanaceous crops to China was analyzed from the aspects of its introduction and population colonization possibility, and the potential geographic distribution of this pathogen in China was predicted by using MaxEnt model.The results showed that the risk of introduction and population colonization of C.Liberibacter solanacearum in China was very high.Chongqing, most part of Shaanxi, northern Guizhou, eastern Sichuan, most part of Henan, and Shandong peninsula were the potential high-risk invasion regions of this patho-gen.Therefore, our country should strengthen the quarantine program and implement strict risk management of this pathogen.

关 键 词：茄科作物 新病原 Candidatus Liberibacter SOLANACEARUM MAXENT 风险分析 预测 

分 类 号：S41-30[农业科学—植物保护]