中国市场空间与经济增长  

The measurement research of Chinese market space and economic growth

作　　者：唐世芳[1] 赵作权[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院科技政策与管理研究所,北京100190

出　　处：《开发研究》2014年第6期6-11,共6页Research On Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"空间经济学在中国的理论与实践研究"(13&ZD166)

摘　　要：运用空间统计方法和空间计量模型相结合分析了2003—2012年我国国内外市场及经济增长的空间范围及形状等特征,继而识别了国内外市场与经济增长的潜在关系。结果表明,国内外市场与经济增长的空间重心均向我国西北方向移动,国内外市场呈现空间一体化发展共同推动我国经济空间向内陆聚集,且国内市场对经济增长贡献要大于国际市场。我国各城市之间的经济增长具有一定的空间关联性,考虑了相邻城市的地理溢出效应的空间计量模型较经典的回归模型对经济现实的解释具有更强的说服力。The paper applied the methods of spatial statistical and spatial econometric model to project the extent and shape features of economic growth ,domestic and foreign markets from 2003 to 2012 ,then identify the potential relationship between them. The results show that ： the centers of gravity of economic growth, domestic and foreign markets move to the Northwest. Both markets becoming more spatially integrated, which increases the economic growth space＇ s extent of agglomeration with its geographic scope contracted. The domestic market has more significant effect on economic growth than foreign market. Because the spatial correlation among the city＇ s economic growth, so the model which consider geographical spillover effects has stronger explanation than the classic regression model.

关 键 词：市场空间 经济增长 空间统计 空间计量 

分 类 号：F123.9[经济管理—世界经济]