消费能否拉动经济增长?——基于消费-增长路径的分析  

Can Consumption Become the Driver of Growth?——Analysis Based on the Consumption-Growth Path

作　　者：匡贤明[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北大学工商管理学院

出　　处：《经济体制改革》2015年第1期189-194,共6页Reform of Economic System

基　　金：2012年国家社会科学基金重点项目"推进消费主导的经济转型--我国经济增长方式转变的路径研究"(12AZD029);2013年国家社会科学基金西部项目"扩大消费促进经济增长的传导机制与战略重点研究"(13XGL001)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：在对消费与增长关系述评的基础上提出消费与增长新分析框架,即:消费决定了增长的最大边界;消费是衡量经济增长的最终指标。同时作者提出和分析消费拉动经济增长的三大途径,即:消费释放—人力资本(技术创新)—经济增长、消费释放-社会公平-经济增长、消费释放-需求结构-经济增长。就推进消费主导经济转型提出相关的改革建议:一是在释放消费中扩大投资;二是调整投资结构;三是社会资本成为投资主体。After an overview of the relationship between consumption and growth, the paper presents a new analysis framework for consumption and growth. This framework advocates that consumption decides the largest margin for growth and consumption is the most essential indicator to evaluate growth. Meanwhile, the paper further analyzes how consumption drives economic growth in three ways. The three ways are as followed： the release of consumption potential-human capital （technological innovation）, the release of consumption potential-social equity-economic growth, and the release of consumption potential-structure of demand-economic growth, this paper also presents reform suggestions for promoting consumption-driven growth. Firstly, increase investment when expending consumption. Secondly, adjust investment structure. Thirdly, let private capital become the mainstay of investment.

关 键 词：消费 增长 途径 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]