Aridity trend and response to vegetation restoration in the loess hilly region of northern Shaanxi Province  

作　　者：LI Wangjun LU Changhe 

机构地区：[1]Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Re- sources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China [2]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

出　　处：《Journal of Geographical Sciences》2015年第3期289-300,共12页地理学报（英文版）

基　　金：National Basic Research Program of China,No.2012CB955304

摘　　要：Detecting variation trend in dry-wet conditions can provide information for devel- oping strategic measures to mitigate the impacts of global warming, particularly in dry regions Taking the hilly region of northern Shaanxi on the Loess Plateau as a case area, this study analyzed the trend of aridity variation during 1981-2012, and explored the effect of vegetation restoration promoted by the Grain-for-Green （GFG） program implemented in 1999. The re- sults indicated that the aridity in the region was non-significantly increased by 0.88% per year during 1981-2012, showing a drying trend. This drying trend and amplitude were changed by the influence of vegetation restoration promoted by the GFG program, based on two findings. The first one was that the aridity variation tended to increase during 1981-1999 while it turned to decrease during 2000-2012, with the regional mean relative change rate changed from 2.45% to -1.06%. This distinction was more remarkable in the loess gully region, where the vegetation was improved more obviously. The second one was that the mean vegetation coverage as indicated by EVI increased by 0.90% to 4.32% per year at county level, while the aridity decreased by 0.14% to 2.32% per year during 2000-2012. The regression analysis using the mean county data indicated that the change rate of aridity was negatively related to that of EVI with the coefficient of determination （R2） of 0.56, illustrating that around half of the aridity decline was explained by the EVI change. The mechanism of this effect was compli- cated, but it was found that the wind speed decline induced by the vegetation improvement could be an important contributor. It is concluded that the region became drier during 1981-2012, but the eco-restoration reduced the drying speed. However, this conclusion is involved in uncertainties, and further study based on experiments is needed to confirm the effect of the GFG-promoted vegetation restoration.Detecting variation trend in dry-wet conditions can provide information for devel- oping strategic measures to mitigate the impacts of global warming, particularly in dry regions Taking the hilly region of northern Shaanxi on the Loess Plateau as a case area, this study analyzed the trend of aridity variation during 1981-2012, and explored the effect of vegetation restoration promoted by the Grain-for-Green （GFG） program implemented in 1999. The re- sults indicated that the aridity in the region was non-significantly increased by 0.88% per year during 1981-2012, showing a drying trend. This drying trend and amplitude were changed by the influence of vegetation restoration promoted by the GFG program, based on two findings. The first one was that the aridity variation tended to increase during 1981-1999 while it turned to decrease during 2000-2012, with the regional mean relative change rate changed from 2.45% to -1.06%. This distinction was more remarkable in the loess gully region, where the vegetation was improved more obviously. The second one was that the mean vegetation coverage as indicated by EVI increased by 0.90% to 4.32% per year at county level, while the aridity decreased by 0.14% to 2.32% per year during 2000-2012. The regression analysis using the mean county data indicated that the change rate of aridity was negatively related to that of EVI with the coefficient of determination （R2） of 0.56, illustrating that around half of the aridity decline was explained by the EVI change. The mechanism of this effect was compli- cated, but it was found that the wind speed decline induced by the vegetation improvement could be an important contributor. It is concluded that the region became drier during 1981-2012, but the eco-restoration reduced the drying speed. However, this conclusion is involved in uncertainties, and further study based on experiments is needed to confirm the effect of the GFG-promoted vegetation restoration.

关 键 词：ARIDITY variation trend hilly Loess Plateau Grain-for-Grain program 

分 类 号：S812.8[农业科学—草业科学] X171.4[农业科学—畜牧学]