基于金融建模实验平台的交通银行投资价值分析  

The Analysis on Investment Value for Bank of Communication——Based on the Financial Modeling Experimental Platform

作　　者：袁庆禄[1] 

机构地区：[1]信阳师范学院经济学院,河南信阳464000

出　　处：《信阳农林学院学报》2014年第3期46-50,共5页Journal of Xinyang Agriculture and Forestry University

基　　金：河南省政府决策研究课题(2014327);河南省社科联;省经团联调研课题:(SKL-2014-2996);信阳师范学院2014年度教育教学改革研究课题

摘　　要：基于金融建模实验平台构建DDM模型和PE模型，对交通银行的投资价值进行估计和分析。采用DDM估计方法，估算出交通银行的基本值为6．51元/股。以工商银行为对比银行，采用静态PE估值方法，估算出交通银行的合理价位为5．36∽7．51元/股；采用动态PE估值方法，估算出交通银行的合理价位为4．86∽6．71元/股。可以认为交通银行股价被低估，具有较大的投资价值。Based on the financial modeling experimental platform, this paper builds the DDM model and the PE model, and estimates and analyses the investment value of Bank of Communications.With the DDM estimation method, we estimate the fundamental value of Bank of Communications is 6.51 yuan per share.Contrasting to Industrial and Commercial Bank, using static PE valuation method, we estimate the reasonable price of Bank of Communications is 5.36∽7.51 yuan per share;Using dynamic PE valuation method, we esti-mate the reasonable price of Bank of Communications is 4.86∽6.71 yuan per share.The rusults showed that Bank of Communication shares are undervalued, and have great investment value.

关 键 词：DDM模型 PE模型 投资价值 

分 类 号：F833.48[经济管理—金融学]