关于致密油开发经济评价的思考  

Economic evaluation of tight-oil development

作　　者：刘斌[1] 易维容[1] 刘晶洁[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油辽河油田公司

出　　处：《国际石油经济》2014年第12期65-70,106,共6页International Petroleum Economics

基　　金：中国石油天然气集团公司重大科技专项"辽河油田原油千万吨持续稳产关键技术研究"(2012E-3006)

摘　　要：我国致密油分布广阔,资源潜力巨大,但资源品位低,开采技术和成本要求高。通过综合研究,提出了致密油藏经济评价的两种方法,即折现现金流法和投资效果系数法,并通过金宝致密油藏的评价实例验证了方法的可行性。结合国内外非常规油气资源经济评价指标,提出对致密油藏经济评价工作4个方面的思考:加强致密油勘探开发经济评价方法、参数和评价标准的研究;有效益地开发致密油,重在优化;政策扶持对致密油的勘探开发起着关键性的作用;要正确看待当前效益与可持续发展的关系。China has a wide geographic distribution of tight oil, with enormous potential for development of resources that are low grade with high technology and capital-cost requirements. Comprehensive study yields two methods to economically evaluate dense reservoirs, namely by discounted cash flow or investment effect coefficient, and the feasibility of each is verified by actual example of Jinbao tight reservoir evaluation. Combining domestic and foreign unconventional oil and gas resource economic evaluation indices points to needs in 4 directions : strengthening research on methods, parameters and criteria for economic evaluation of oil exploration and development; optimizing to realize the benefit of tight oil; policy support for exploration and development of tight oil; and understanding the relationship between current benefit and sustainable development.

关 键 词：致密油 经济评价 评价方法 评价指标 效益开发 扶持政策 可持续发展 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]