基于能源消费结构演进的区域节能减排对策探讨  

Probe into the Strategies of Regional Energy- saving and Emission- reduction Based on the Energy Consumption Structure Evolution

作　　者：牛晓耕[1,2] 牛建高[1] 

机构地区：[1]石家庄经济学院,石家庄050031 [2]辽宁大学,沈阳110036

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2015年第1期155-160,共6页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家发改委中国清洁发展机制基金项目(项目编号:2011017);河北省社会科学基金项目(项目编号:HB14YJ026);河北省社会科学基金项目(项目编号:HB14YJ027)

摘　　要：1980~2012年间,全球CO2排放量中约80%来自传统化石能源的燃烧,对于暂居CO2排放和能源消耗之首的中国,来源于化石能源燃烧的CO2排放量比例更是高达90%。扭转能源消费结构调整的被动局面、推进能源消费结构的持续正态演进,既是化解短期内节能减排压力的有效手段,也是长期内实现能源系统清洁化的根本途径之一。本文以全国及河北省为研究对象,通过构建能源消费结构——CO2排放强度关联模型,分析能源消费结构演进同CO2排放强度之间的关联效应,并从能源消费结构演进视角探讨了区域节能减排的路径和可行对策。From 1980 to 2012 there were 80% carbon dioxide emissions from traditional fossil energy, and the property reached 90% in China, which was the top of carbon dioxide emission and consumption. In order to release the pressure of short term energy con- servation and emission reduction, as well as implement energy system cleaning in long term, advance the continuous evolution of energy consumption system will have to be the effective methods. This paper takes Hebei Province and the whole country as the research objects, analyzes the influence of energy consumption structure change on carbon dioxide emissions and the correlation effect between energy con- sumption structure and carbon dioxide emissions intensity by constructing a correlation model between energy consumption structure and car- bon dioxide emissions intensity, discusses the effective strategies for the regional energy conservation and emissions reduction.

关 键 词：节能减排 能源消费结构演进 关联模型 低碳政策机制 

分 类 号：F426.2[经济管理—产业经济]