我国金融政策与区域产业结构趋同的机理及实证分析——基于区域面板数据TSWLS方法的实证  

The Functional Mechanism of China's Financial Policy on Regional Industrial Structure Convergence——An Empirical Study Based on Regional Panel Data by TSWLS Method

作　　者：申云[1] 熊剑芳[2] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学人文学部,重庆400044 [2]南开大学商学院,天津300071

出　　处：《经济与管理评论》2015年第1期73-80,共8页Review of Economy and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"金融政策与区域产业结构升级的路径研究--以重庆为例"(项目编号:71263025);重庆市社会科学规划项目"三峡库区农业现代化中金融服务模式研究"(项目编号:2013YBJJ031)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：金融是现代经济的血液,是产业发展的助推器,产业集聚区的形成与区域经济的发展自然离不开金融的支持。了解金融政策在产业结构趋同中的路径和作用方式对于深化金融体制改革具有重要的理论和现实意义。通过采用TSWLS方法对2003-2012年我国省际区域面板数据实证分析得出:信贷规模占GDP比重对区域产业结构趋同具有显著的正相关关系;税收负担和人均储蓄对产业结构相似度存在显著的负相关关系,人均资本禀赋差异越大越不利于区域产业结构的趋同。Finance is the essence of modern economy and the booster of industrial development.Financial support is indispensable to the formation of industrial agglomeration and the development of regional economy.To deepen the reform of financial system,it is therefore of theoretical and practical significance to know the paths and ways of the function of financial policy on the convergence of in-dustrial structure.An empirical analysis,based on China＇s inter-provincial panel data from 2003 to 201 2 by using the method of TSWLS,manifests three results.First,the credit scale as a share of GDP has a positive correlation to the convergence of industrial structure.Second,the tax burden and per capita saving is negatively correlated to the industrial structure similarity.Third,sharper differences in per capita capital endowment have negative effects on the convergence of regional industrial structure.

关 键 词：金融政策 产业结构趋同 信贷规模 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]