保障功能替代与农民对农地转出的响应  

Substitution Degree of Farmland Security Function and Reaction of Farmers on the Farmland Transfer

作　　者：聂建亮[1,2] 钟涨宝[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学社会学系,湖北武汉430070 [2]华中农业大学农村社会建设与管理研究中心,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2015年第1期103-111,共9页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目"我国农村社会养老保障问题调查研究"(编号:10ASH007);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目"中部地区农村社会管理问题研究"(编号:2012RW003);北京郑杭生社会发展基金会.杭州国际城市学研究中心学子项目"快速城市化过程中城乡养老保险一体化研究"(编号:13ZHFD06)

摘　　要：农民转出农地的意愿将决定农地流转行为的发生,对农地流转市场的发育有重要的影响,因此研究农民转出农地的意愿具有重要的现实意义。本文基于对中国5省样本农民的问卷调查,运用Logistic回归模型,探讨了农地保障功能替代,尤其是就业保障功能替代与养老保障功能替代对农民转出农地意愿的影响。总体来看,农民转出农地的意愿较高,近四成农民愿意转出农地。回归结果显示,农地保障功能替代程度在一定程度上影响了农民转出农地的意愿。第一,农地就业保障功能在个人和家庭两个层面替代程度越高的农民,转出农地的意愿越高:主要从事非农工作的农民相对于主要从事农业的农民,转出农地的意愿更高;农民所在家庭劳动力转移程度越高,其转出农地的意愿越高。第二,以新农保为代表的农村社会养老保险对农地养老保障功能的替代程度越高,农民转出农地的意愿越高。虽然农民的参保状况与农民转出农地意愿的关系不显著,但是农民对新农保保障能力的评价越高,那么其转出农地的意愿越高。同时研究还发现,不同性别、年龄、文化程度、身体健康状况、家庭规模的农民转出农地的意愿也存在显著差异。基于上述研究结论,为促进农地流转市场的发育,实现农地资源的优化配置,本文提出了促进农民非农转移和建立健全农村社会保障体系的政策建议。Farmers＇ willingness to transfer farmland will determine the action of farmland transfer, and it has an important effect on the development of market of farmland transfer, therefore, research into farmers ＇ willingness to transfer farmland has important practical significance. Using the data of sample farmers＇ questionnaire survey from 5 provinces in China, this paper tries to explore farmers＇ willingness to transfer farmland and its influencing factors in the perspective of farmland security function substitution, especially employment security function substitution and old-age security function substitution through constructing logistic modeling. Overall, farmers＇ willingness to transfer farmland is relatively high, and nearly 40% of farmers are willing to transfer their farmland. The regression results show that the substitution degree of farmland security function could influence farmers＇ willingness to transfer farmland to some extent. For one thing, the higher the substitution degree of farmland employment security function in the individual and family level is, the lower farmers＇ willingness to transfer farmland is. The farmers＇ willingness who are mainly occupied with agriculture is higher than the farmers＇ who are mainly occupied with non-agriculture. The higher degree of farmers＇ family labor transfer is, the higher farmers＇ willingness will be. For another, the higher the substitution degree of farmland old-age security function from new rural social endowment insurance is, the lower farmers＇ evaluating the significance of farmland is. Although there are not obvious relationship between farmers buy or not buy new rural social pension insurance and farmers＇ willingness to transfer farmland, the assessment of support capability of new rural social pension insurance is higher, the willingness to transfer farmland of farmers is higher. At the same time, the study also found that if farmers＇ gender, age, culture level, physical health and household scale were different, their wil

关 键 词：保障功能替代 就业 养老 农地流转:意愿 

分 类 号：F32[经济管理—产业经济]