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机构地区:[1]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100190 [2]中国科学院大学,北京100049
出 处:《中国科学院院刊》2015年第1期82-89,共8页Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目(91024010;91324009);中科院创新团队项目(GH13041);中科院科技政策与管理科学所重大研究任务(Y201201Z06)
摘 要:当前我国正处于深化改革带来的社会转型加速期,官民矛盾、贫富差距、社会不公平等问题在转型期日益凸显。当突发事件发生,社会群体或个人受负面情绪的影响,从日常的平静状态(常态)跃迁为激动状态(激发态)所需克服的能量就是"社会活化能"。因此,从国家治理能力现代化的高度,在系统分析、有效度量、科学研判的基础上把握社会负面情绪与突发事件的关系,正确认识、度量、研判危害社会稳定的"社会活化能",有助于进一步完善社会稳定预警研究和社会治理。At present, our country is basking in the accelerating period of social transformation with deepening reform. The problems such as contradiction between official and people, gap between the rich and the poor, and social inequality are growing. In the process of the social emergency, influenced by negative emotions, social groups or individuals from the daily state of calm (the normal state) transit to the excited state (the excited state), and the energy required to overcome this transition is social activation energy. Specifically, "the normal state" refers to the groups or individuals in society in a up emotion, so-called social harmony without the external stimuli. Any network positive energy maintains positive, active, and the stability of "the normal state". "The excited state" refers to the large number of false information, violence, crime, and other negative emotions in society (specially in the virtue network). If those negative emotions are not evacuated timely, the groups or individuals in society will have the move to undermine the social harmony and stability, called "the excited state". The measurements for the social activation energy are divided into the following main steps. First of all, regarding the social stability and warning as the purpose, to build a sample library for elements of emotions, including "text", "expression" and "punctuation". Then, to match the corresponding emotional elements in the sample library by calculating the emotional value of the information to be analyzed through extracting the the information you want to analyze in terms of the three elements mentioned above. Finally, to use the emotional value of different social agents in normal state and excited state generating the social activation society of the agents, combining with the geographic location to get the "social activation energy" of different place all over the country If the social activation energy trend in certain areas is relative high, it indicates that the soc
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