外商直接投资与吉林省城镇化发展的实证研究  

Quantitative Analysis of Foreign Direct Investment and Urbanization of Jilin Province

作　　者：杨丹[1] 

机构地区：[1]北华大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《北华大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第1期42-47,共6页Journal of Beihua University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：吉林省哲学社会科学规划基金办公室基金项目"吉林省城镇化与经济发展的相关性研究:探索吉林省特色城镇化路径"(2013BS33);吉林省大学生创新创业训练计划项目"吉林省城镇化与经济增长的相关性研究"的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：定性分析表明,外商直接投资通过促进吉林省经济增长、产业结构升级进而带动城镇化发展。定量分析表明,外商直接投资额与吉林省城镇化存在长期的动态均衡关系,外商直接投资与吉林省城镇化之间的长期均衡关系是通过短期的不断调整而维持的。外商直接投资是吉林省城镇化的格兰杰原因,吉林省城镇化不是外商直接投资的格兰杰原因,外商直接投资对吉林省城镇化有促进效应,但效应具有滞后性。定性与定量分析均表明,外商直接投资是吉林省城镇化的发展动力,促进了吉林省城镇化的发展。Qualitative analysis shows that foreign direct investments stimulate the development of urbanization of Jilin province by promoting economic growth and upgrading of industrial structure. Quantitative analysis shows that there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investments and urbanization of Jilin province,long-run equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment and urbanization of Jilin Prov- ince is continuously adjusted by the short-term, foreign direct investment is the Granger cause of urbanization of Jilin Province, while urbanization is not Granger cause FDI in Jilin Province, FDI can promote the urbanization of Jilin with a lag effect. Qualitative and quantitative analysis all show that foreign direct investment is the impetus for the development of urbanization of Jilin Province, and promote the development of urbanization of Jilin Province.

关 键 词：吉林省 外商直接投资 城镇化 经济增长 产业结构升级 格兰杰原因 

分 类 号：F299.27[经济管理—国民经济]