婚配期望与选择中的独生子女属性  

Expectation on Selection of First Marriage and the Property of "Only Child" in Partner Selection

作　　者：宋健[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心

出　　处：《青年研究》2015年第1期11-19,94,共9页Youth Studies

基　　金：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目"独生子女时代的中国社会政策研究"(10XNJ025)资助

摘　　要：论文基于2009年中国城市青年调查数据,分别对未婚青年择偶期望中的和已婚青年初婚配偶的独生子女属性进行分析,发现独生子女和非独生子女均更期望配偶的独生子女属性与自己的相一致,从而验证了独生子女属性"同质相吸"的假设。这说明独生子女与非独生子女之间"随机婚配"的假定并不成立,多数建立在"随机婚配"假定之上的关于"双独"和"单独"的估计和预测可能会低估"双独"夫妇的规模和比例、高估"单独"夫妇的规模和比例。Based on National Survey on China's Urban Youth in 2009,this paper analyzes the properties of 'Only Child' in unmarried youth's expectation on selection of first marriage and married youth's spouse of first marriage.According to the findings,either only child or non-only child would like to expect their spouses have consistent properties of 'only child' with themselves.Hence,the assumption that people alike attract each other in the property of 'only child' has been confirmed,and the previous assumption that the only child and non-only child will select their spouses randomly has been denied.Therefore,regarding the estimation and prediction of ' Both One Child' and ' Single One Child' based on the assumption of ' random selection of first marriage ',the scale and proportion of the couples who are both 'only child' could be underestimated,the scale and proportion of the couples either one of whom is 'single only child' could be overestimated.

关 键 词：独生子女 婚配期望 初婚配偶 生育政策 中国青年 

分 类 号：D669.1[政治法律—政治学]