1980-2012年期间中印经济增长差异研究  

Research on Economic Growth in China and India 1980-2012

作　　者：周文贵[1] 麦聪[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学,广州510420

出　　处：《广东外语外贸大学学报》2014年第6期21-25,共5页Journal of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies

摘　　要：本文基于1980年至2012年的数据对中、印两国物质资本、人力资本数值进行估算,运用产出分解模型将这段时期内的中、印经济增长率分解为物质资本增长率、人力资本增长率与全要素生产率增长率,并分阶段探究两国每个阶段上推动经济增长的主要因素及其产出贡献率。文章还根据分解结果结合两国国情,对未来中、印的经济增长进行了预测,并针对新形势下实现中国经济的长期稳定增长提出了相应的对策性建议。Using the relevant data of China and India in 1980-2012, this paper employs output decomposition model to es- timate the two countries＇ physical capital and human capital and tries to disassemble their economic growth rate into physical capital growth rate, human capital growth rate and total factor productivity growth rate. The paper also intends to analyze the main determinant factors of the two countries＇ economic growth and their respective contribution. On the basis of the result of this research and the basic national situations in both countries, the paper predicts the economic growth in China and India in the coming years and provides some policy suggestions for China to realize a stable economic growth in a long run.

关 键 词：中印差异 经济增长 产出分解模型 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]