丝绸之路经济带:省区经济增长与产业优势  

Analysis of the Economic Growth and Industrial Advantage of the Silk Road Economic Belt Provinces

作　　者：王贝贝[1] 肖海峰[1] 孙赫[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《广东财经大学学报》2015年第1期4-11,22,共9页Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：农业部和财政部项目(CARS-40-20)

摘　　要：应用偏离—份额分析空间模型,考察2005年-2012年间丝绸之路经济带14个省区的经济增长和产业结构状况,并根据空间结构分量和空间竞争分量对14个省区的经济增长进行分类。研究表明：从地区经济增长来看,国家分量是新丝绸之路经济带各省区经济增长的主因,而空间结构分量和空间竞争分量在不同省区经济增长中的作用不同;从产业经济增长来看,各省区的经济增长均以第二产业为主导（海南除外）,但各省区三次产业增长的偏离—份额分析结果存在较大差异。尤其从空间竞争分量来看,东部的江苏、福建和海南三省区的三次产业均具有竞争优势,而西北的甘肃、宁夏和东部的浙江、广东四省区的三次产业均不具有竞争优势。各省区可借鉴邻区经验,培育产业竞争优势,同时强化竞争优势,发挥辐射带动作用。Spatial shift-share analysis model is applied to study the economic growth and industrial structure of 14 Silk Road Economic Belt provinces between 2005 and 2012, and spatial structural effect and spatial competitive effect are utilized to classify the economic growth of the provinces. The results show that from the aspect of regional economic growth, national effect is the key factor promoting the economic growth while spatial structural effect and spatial competitive effect are quite different among provinces. From the aspect of industrial economic growth, the economic growth of each province is all leaded by the secondary industry except Hainan province while the shift-share analysis results of primary industry, secondary industry and tertiary industry in the provinces are quite different. Especially from the view of spatial competitive effect, the three industries in Jiangsu, Fujian and Hainan are all competitive while Gansu, Ningxia, Zhejiang and Guangdong are not. It is thus suggested that each province should learn from the experience of adjacent provinces, cultivate and strengthen their industrial competitive advantage, and bring an impetus to others.

关 键 词：区域经济 产业经济 丝绸之路经济带 经济增长 产业结构 偏离—份额分析空间模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F224