山西省迁移人口空间格局变化及其经济因素分析  

Migration Distribution and Its Economic Factors in Shanxi Province

作　　者：秦志琴[1] 

机构地区：[1]山西大学经济与管理学院,太原030006

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2015年第1期166-171,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(11BJY049);山西省高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2013202)

摘　　要：采用人口普查数据分析2000—2010年山西省迁移人口空间分布格局变化。结果表明,山西省迁移人口规模具有明显地域差异,空间分布上呈现"核心-外围"结构。其中,晋中地区迁移人口集聚趋势最为显著,晋北地区集聚由强变弱,晋西地区集聚逐步增强,晋南地区变化较稳定。进一步结合社会经济统计数据,分析山西省迁移人口空间格局变化的经济因素,认为经济总量的增加与迁移人口规模具有显著正相关性;煤炭销售量与迁移人口规模关系不明显;三次产业产值与迁移人口就业变化趋势基本一致,而且省会太原市第三产业对迁移人口具有较大吸引力,县(县级市)第二产业对迁移人口的吸引力较大,而地级市三次产业对迁移人口的吸引力均不明显;公路网密度和等级与迁移人口规模呈正相关关系,尤其是高速公路密度对迁移人口集聚规模具有重要影响。Based on the data base compiled from Chinese national population censuses in 2000 and 2010, this paper analyzed the spatial structure changes of migrant population distribution in Shanxi Province. It is found out that there are obvious differences on the migration spatial structures between 2000 and 2010. The migrant population flowed mainly into mega-cities and big cities while less into middle and small cites, so the spatial structures showed the style of ＂core-periphery＂. Furthermore, based on the ESDA technique and G1S platform, it is found out that the concentration of migration in Jinzhong area is most significant, and in Jinbei area from strong to weak, and in Jinnan area is insignificant and stable. Then, according to the relevant data from the statistical yearbooks of Shanxi Province in relevant years, this paper confirmed that there is high coincidence between the size of migrant population and the GDP, and the coal sales insignificantly influence migration distribution, and the changes of output values of three industries and the employment of migration show the consistent trend, and the density and grade of road, especially the highway are positive relation with the migration.

关 键 词：迁移人口 空间格局 经济因素 山西省 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]