国际发展援助的出口多样化促进效应分析——基于66个受援国面板数据的实证研究  

Effect of Foreign Assistance on Export Diversification——Empirical Research Based on Panel Data of 66 Recipients

作　　者：黄梅波[1,2] 朱丹丹[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,361005 [2]厦门大学世界经济研究中心,361005

出　　处：《财贸经济》2015年第2期97-108,共12页Finance & Trade Economics

基　　金：2013年度国家社科基金一般项目"援助有效性;发展有效性与中国对外援助的质量研究"(13BJL054);国家自然科学基金重点项目(71131008)"面板数据建模的理论与方法"

摘　　要：本文使用66个受援国2002—2011年间的面板数据,对国际发展援助与受援国出口多样化之间的关系进行了研究。研究表明:"促贸援助"总额和生产部门援助的增加都能够提高受援国的出口多样化水平,经济基础设施援助则对受援国的出口多样化没有显著影响;生产部门援助对出口多样化的影响存在倒"U"型"门槛效应","促贸援助"总额和经济基础设施援助则都不存在该效应;受援国的经济发展水平与出口多样化之间呈现明显的倒"U"型态势。上述结果暗示我们,在提供"促贸援助"的过程中,应该注意区分不同类别援助对不同经济发展水平受援国出口多样化的具体效应,同时要注意援助的"门槛效应",控制合理的援助数量,以充分发挥国际发展援助对受援国对外贸易的促进效应。Using panel data of 66 recipients from 2002 to 2011, this paper studies the relationship between aid and recipients＇ export diversification. Research shows that, ＂ aid for trade＂ overall and aid for production sector can enhance recipients＇ export diversification, while aid for economic infrastructure does not exert significant effect on recipients＇ export diversification; aid for production sector presents an inverted U-shaped ＂threshold effect＂ on export diversification, but ＂aid for trade＂ and aid for economic infrastructure do not have this effect; recipients＇ income and their export diversification have an significant inverted U-shaped ＂threshold effect＂. The above results suggest that when providing foreign aid, donors should pay attention to different effects of different categories of aid on recipients with different development levels to give full play of aid to improve recipients＇ trade.

关 键 词：国际发展援助 出口多样化 受援国 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F746.12[经济管理—国际贸易]