基于灰色关联分析的武汉市建设用地扩张驱动力实证研究  

Empirical Study on Driving Forces of Construction Land Expansion in Wuhan City Based on Grey Relational Analysis

作　　者：胡银根[1] 蔡国立[1,2] 徐小峰[3] 张曼 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430070 [2]惠州市杰诚工程咨询有限公司,广东惠州516008 [3]上海市地质调查研究院,上海200072 [4]鄂州市农村综合产权交易所,湖北鄂州436000

出　　处：《水土保持通报》2014年第6期214-218,共5页Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"城乡统筹背景下建设用地优化配置的动力;绩效与配套机制研究"(41271191);国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130748);中国博士后科学基金项目(20100470531);科技部"十二五"国家科技支撑计划项目(2014BAL01B00);湖北省政府咨询项目[鄂(2011)456号]

摘　　要：采用灰色关联分析法探究了2003—2012年武汉市建设用地扩张的驱动因素。研究结果表明,交通条件改善,城乡居民收入增长和人口增加是武汉市近10a建设用地扩张的主要驱动力;各驱动力因素表现出一定的时间尺度依赖性,交通和人口因素对建设用地短期内快速扩张的推动效应更显著,收入因素的效应则主要体现在长期;宏观经济增长和产业结构调整促进了土地利用的效率和集约水平的提升。Based on gray relational analysis, the driving forces of urban expansion in Wuhan City was studied using statistical data during 2003-2012. Result showed that the improvement of traffic conditions, the growth of people＇s income and population were the main driving forces of construction land expansion in Wu- han City during the past decade. The driving forces showed certain time scale dependence： the two factors, traffic and population, showed more significant effect on promoting rapid expansion in short-term, while the effect of income was mainly reflected in long-term. The increase of macro economy and the adjustment of in- dustrial structure improved the efficiency and intensive level of land use.

关 键 词：武汉市 建设用地扩张 驱动力 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：F293.2[经济管理—国民经济]