生产性服务贸易进口技术复杂度与经济增长  

Relationship between Complexity of Producer Service Import and Economic Growth: A GMM Analysis Based on Data from 40 Countries

作　　者：杨玲[1,2] 徐舒婷[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海大学经济学院 [2]中国服务贸易研究中心,200092

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2015年第2期103-112,共10页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家科技部软科学研究项目(2013GXQ4D166);上海大学“都市社会发展与智慧城市建设”内涵建设项目(085SHDX001);上海汽车工业教育基金会研究类课题“汽车后服务市场业务发展趋势研究”(2014)的资助

摘　　要：本文选取40个有代表性的国家,借助动态面板数据进行实证研究。结果表明:生产性服务的进口复杂度能够显著拉动进口国经济增长,这一结果非常稳健;各国进口更多高技术密集型金融、保险和专利及特许费服务对该国经济增长是有利的;货物贸易进口依存度的上升反而不利于一国经济增长或影响效应不显著;作为后工业社会吸收劳动力最多的行业,服务业劳动力的增加有利于实现一国经济增长。在总结全文的基础上提出了创新性的政策建议。With the development in global service trade, more and more countries are highlighting the importance of producer service import. As a factor exhibiting a country＇ s trade quality, the complexity of producer service import becomes an important element affecting a country＇ s economic growth. Identifying 40 countries including both developed and developing countries as the study subject, this paper conducts a systematic GMM analysis which confirms the strong positive effects of the complexity of imported producer services. Meanwhile, more and more high-tech intensive producer services, such as finance, insurance and patents are all beneficial for a country＇ s economic growth. However, the rise in the interdependency degree of goods import trade is harmful for or has only non-significant effect on the host country＇ s economic growth. As the sector that draws the largest labor force in the post-industrial era, the service industry is an impetus for economic growth. To conclude, the paper suggest that the complexity of producer services import be improved and more high-tech intensive services, such as finance, insurance and patents, be introduced so as to optimize the import trade structure.

关 键 词：生产性服务贸易 进口复杂度 经济增长 

分 类 号：F719[经济管理—产业经济]