基于结构方程模型的竞技体育公共支出绩效评价研究——25个省、自治区、直辖市的实证分析  

Performance Evaluation of Public Expenditure on Competitive Sports Based on Structural Equation Model——An Empirical Analysis of 25 Provinces and Cities

作　　者：张凤彪[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学文法学院,辽宁盘锦124221

出　　处：《体育科学》2015年第2期31-40,53,共11页China Sport Science

基　　金：湖南省高等学校科学研究资助项目(11C0710);大连理工大学基础科研业务费重点资助项目

摘　　要：选取我国25个省、自治区、直辖市作为样本,运用结构方程模型对2002-2011年我国竞技体育公共支出绩效进行分析评价。结果显示,1)我国各省、自治区、直辖市竞技体育公共支出绩效极为匮乏,绩效指数尚未出现优秀、良好等级;2)各省、自治区、直辖市绩效存在着明显的地区性差异,2002—2011年绩效差异指数平均为60.13%,并且绩效差异度有扩大的趋势;3)各省、自治区、直辖市竞技体育公共支出绩效均出现了不同程度的改善,其中,绩效改善程度最大的3个省份是江苏省、黑龙江省和青海省,平均改善幅度达到了20%以上;4)各省、自治区、直辖市竞技体育公共支出绩效与当地经济发展均出现了同步增长,其中,青海省、江苏省和福建省3个省份竞技体育公共支出绩效增长速度超过了当地经济增长速度;5)从绩效影响因子贡献度分析,对竞技体育公共支出绩效评价应重点关注效果类指标,即全国以上冠军数和优秀运动员获得冠军率。Performance of pubic expenditure on competitive sports in China from 2002 to 2011 is analyzed and evaluated based on Structural Equation Model by taking 25 provinces ,including autonomous regions and municipalities as samples .The results show that 1） the performance of public expenditure on competitive sports in domestic provinces and cities is deficient ,as per‐formance index never approaches to excellent or favorable grade ;2 ） performance difference is noticeable among researched provinces and cities ,with an average 60 .13% of performance di‐versity index from 2002 to 2011 ,meanwhile performance diversity factor is on the rise ;3） all researched provinces and cities have witnessed improvement in public expenditure on competi‐tive sports to a certain degree ,among which Jiangsu ,Heilongjiang and Qinghai province rank top three in the degree of performance improvement with an increase rate of more than 20% on average ;4） public expenditure on competitive sports grows in step with local economic devel‐opment in researched provinces and cities ,and the growth rates of public expenditure on com‐petitive sports in Qinghai ,Jiangsu and Fujian province exceeds their economic grow th rates ;5 ） according to the contribution of impact factors of performance ,evaluation of public expenditure on competitive sports should lay emphasis on effect index ,namely numbers of champions above national level and the winning rate of championship by excellent athletes .

关 键 词：绩效评价 公共支出 竞技体育 结构方程模型 

分 类 号：G80-05[文化科学—运动人体科学]