既有建筑节能改造市场发育成熟度评价探讨  

Market Maturity Evaluation of Energy Efficiency Retrofitting in Existing Buildings

作　　者：魏兴[1] 郭汉丁[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津城建大学经济与管理学院,天津300384

出　　处：《建筑节能》2015年第1期106-110,119,共6页BUILDING ENERGY EFFICIENCY

基　　金：住房和城乡建设部软科学研究项目"既有建筑节能改造市场培育机制及其发展政策研究"(2013-R1-14);国家自然基金项目"工程质量政府监督多层次激励协同机理研究"(71171141)

摘　　要：在剖析既有建筑节能改造市场主体相互关系及市场机制的基础上,基于系统动力学原理分析市场成熟度的影响因素以及因素间动态反馈关系;结合生命周期理论、系统分析原理、项目管理成熟度模型,构建了既有建筑节能改造市场发育成熟度多指标评价体系框架。依托AHP分层递进的系统分析方法,逐级确定各指标权重。运用模糊综合评审法,确定既有建筑节能改造市场发育成熟度阶段划分标准与判断方法。最后以天津市为例进行实证分析,得出天津市既有建筑节能改造市场处于发展期的结论,以及依据市场成熟度构建不同阶段下各有侧重的政策导向的启示。The influence factors of market maturity, and dynamic feedback relationships of various factors are expounded on the basis of analyzing relationship of market subjects, market mechanism and principle of system dynamics. A multi-index system framework about maturity evaluation of energy efficien-cy retrofitting in existing buildings is established combining the theory of life cycle, system analysis princi-ple and project management maturity model. Relying on the systemic analysis method of AHP, it confirms index weight step-by-step. Applying Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, it makes the standard of phase and judgment method of market maturity evaluation. At last, it evaluates the market maturity of Tian-jin and gets the results of evolution period. At the same time, it gets the enlightenment that the government should build each-focused policy orientation in different stage based on maturity evaluation.

关 键 词：既有建筑 节能改造 市场成熟度 评价 

分 类 号：TU20[建筑科学—建筑设计及理论]