要素结构与效率变化对经济增长的效应分析  

Analysis on the Effect of Factor Structure and Effi ciency Change on Economic Growth

作　　者：余子鹏[1] 王今朝[2] 

机构地区：[1]武汉科技大学文法与经济学院,湖北武汉430065 [2]武汉大学经济发展研究中心,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《生态经济》2015年第3期57-61,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"区际产业转移与劳动力供给结构的动态变化跟踪研究"(10CJY004);湖北省科技厅软科学项目(2014BDF053)

摘　　要：经济增长可分解为就业总量、结构、资本效率和劳均资本变化的效应。通过收集大量数据,分析劳动力、资本配置结构和效率,发现在1979-1992年经济增长为粗放型,主要依靠劳动力增加;在1993-2012期间则依靠资本扩张,就业结构和资本效率变化对经济增长的效应很低甚至为负。建议大力发展第二产业吸纳剩余劳动力,增加第三产业就业,扩大第一产业投资,提升第一产业劳动生产率,强化技术创新提高资本效率,实现经济内涵式增长。Economic growth has been decomposed into the effects of total employment, employment structure, capital efficiency and capital per worker. By collecting large amounts of data, the paper has analyzed total employment, structure of labor force, efficiency of capital and variation of capital. It showed that from 1979 to 1992, extensive economic growth has mainly depended on increase of employment, and that from 1993 to 2012, economic growth has depended on augment of capital per worker, while the effect of employment structure and capital efficiency on economic growth is quite low or even negative. Some suggestions have been proposed as follows： developing secondary industry to absorb surplus labor force and add second, tertiary industry employment, increasing investment in first industry and promoting labor productivity by technical training, improving capital efficiency by strengthening technological innovation to realize intensive growth.

关 键 词：结构演变 要素效率 增长源泉 对策建议 

分 类 号：F243.1[经济管理—劳动经济]