长江中下游传统粮棉产区扩大玉米生产的思考  

Expanding Maize Production in Cotton-producing Areas of Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River

作　　者：李晓云[1] 黄玛兰 杨柏寒 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070 [2]华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第2期58-62,共5页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"不同农业耕作系统主要粮食作物产量限制性因子评估与重要限制因子作用规律研究"(71203073);教育部人文社会科学基金项目"中国与印度谷物耕作系统:土壤肥力与肥料相关因素对作物产量损失的相对重要性比较"(12YJC630105);博士点新教师基金项目"不同农业耕作系统主要粮食作物产量限制性因子评估"(20120146120030)

摘　　要：从我国玉米未来需求与生产能力的缺口不断扩大的实际出发,分析了长江中下游传统粮棉产区主要作物种植结构变化,发现该区域内水稻生产集中度基本维持不变;小麦生产集中度除安徽有明显上涨趋势外,其余3省生产集中度则均在下降;湖北、安徽、湖南的玉米生产均有所上升;棉花在一些地区种植面积持续调减。基于传统玉米种植区玉米种植面积难以再扩大的背景,从国家产业布局、资源环境约束角度提出长江中下游传统粮棉产区扩大玉米生产的可能性,并对未来该区域扩大玉米种植进行了展望。Based on the fact that the gap of future demand and production ability of maize is increasingly expanding, this paper analyzes the changes of planting structure of main crops in traditional grain and cotton producing areas of middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River. The result shows that rice production maintains the dominant role in this region,while concentration of wheat is obvious increasing except Anhui province and deceasing in the other three provinces. Maize production in Hubei, Anhui and Hunan provinces all increases and the cotton planting areas in some areas are steadily reducing in recent years. Because it is difficult to further expand the maize planting area in dominant maize production regions, this paper proposes both the potential of increasing maize production in traditional grain and cotton planting areas of the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River and the future prospect of maize growth in this area in the future.

关 键 词：玉米生产 产业布局 资源约束 需求驱动 作物选择 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]