流动人口的返乡与外出意愿研究——基于安徽、四川、河南、湖南、江西、贵州六省数据的分析  

Study of the Willing of Return Hometown and Emigration of the Floating Population

作　　者：梁海艳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学社会与人口学院,北京100872

出　　处：《南方人口》2015年第1期58-69,共12页South China Population

基　　金：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目:我国人口迁移流动对通婚圈的影响研究(项目批准号:14XNH093)的资助

摘　　要：从人的角度来看,流动人口名副其实地处于不断地流动之中,从区域的角度来看,一个地区随时都有人口的流入与流出。但为了方便,在实际研究中很多时候人口流动系统被人为地分离。从研究的角度看,这无疑是一种可行的办法,但现实生活中是很难做到真正的分离。本文利用2014年流动人口卫生计生服务流出地监测调查数据研究发现:流动人口返乡的主要原因不是经济因素,而是社会性因素。返乡原因因性别、受教育程度有所差异;农村人口是否外出受个人年龄、性别、受教育程度、户口性质、就业状况、流动经历与家庭承包土地耕管现状、面积以及家庭收入的共同影响,但外出地域选择只受其个人年龄、性别、受教育程度、就业状况和流动经历的影响;流动经历对自身后期的迁移决策发挥了累积效应。Floating population are in frequent moving from one place to another place, thus a region boast of both immigrants and emigrants. For the sake of convenience in researches, most studies artificially separate the floating population as immigrants or emigrants, but the reality is that such artificial division is not accurate because many of them are immigrants and emigrants in the Same time. The data from monitoring survey in 2014 by National Health and Family Planning Committee show that the main reasons for the floating population to return home is social factors instead of economic considerations. The willing to return differs with gender, education and the aspiration of the rural population to emigrate is affected by age, sex, education, type of hukou, employment, migration experience and the family＇s land contracted and family income. However the selection of migration destination area is affected only by age, sex, education, employment, and migration experience and the migration experience has accumulative effect on the late migration decisions.

关 键 词：流动人口 返乡 外出意愿 累积效应 

分 类 号：C92-05[社会学—人口学]