农户农业生产性投资影响因素研究——对江苏省六个县市的实证分析  

A Study on the Factors Affecting Farmer's Agricultural Production Investment

作　　者：刘承芳[1] 张林秀[1] 樊胜根 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院中国农业政策研究中心 [2]国际食物政策研究所环境和生产技术部

出　　处：《中国农村观察》2002年第4期34-42,共9页China Rural Survey

基　　金：澳大利亚国际农业研究中心 (ACIAR)资助;日本政府资助;国际食物政策研究所 (IFPRI)资助;中国国家自然科学基金资助 (项目批准号 :79970 0 6 5 )

摘　　要：本文以江苏省 3 0 0户农户 1 993～ 1 999年的历史资料为基础 ,分别采用Heckman两　　阶段模型和Tobit模型 ,对农户生产性投资行为的决定因素进行系统的计量经济模型分　　析。研究结果表明 ,农户投资的总体比例并不高 ;而在诸多影响农户农业生产性投资的因　　素中 ,农户的非农就业比例、借贷的可获得性、土地规模、房屋资产以及农村基础设施 (如　　通电话 )等是主要因素。文章认为 ,政府应在产业结构调整政策、信贷服务、基础设施建设　　方面等加以改进 ,从而激励农户生产性投资的积极性。Using 300 household panel data from 1993 to 1999 for Jiangsu province, This paper attempts to analyze how the factors, such as household characteristics, rural infrastructure, public services and etc.,have affected household decision on agricultural production investment. Both Heckman two-stage method and Tobit model were used for econometric analysis. The results show that apart from household traits, such as proportion of family members' working off-farm, farm size, housing assets, rural informal credit service, village infrastructure (telephone) and clinic services have been the significant determinants of household production investment decision. Some policy implications were made based on the empirical results. In order to stimulate farmers production investment incentives, government should make sure that better services should be provided in the areas of structural adjustment, credit, infrastructure and etc.

关 键 词：影响因素 实证分析 农户行为 农户投资 江苏 农业生产 农业投资 

分 类 号：F327.53[经济管理—产业经济] F323.9