钻井现场作业风险概率预测  

Risk Probability Forecasting of Drilling Site Operation

作　　者：杨帆[1] 张祚良[1] 张清联 刘磊[1] 胥勇 

机构地区：[1]西南石油大学,四川成都610500 [2]中石油昆仑燃气有限公司,北京100101

出　　处：《能源与节能》2015年第2期40-41,72,共3页Energy and Energy Conservation

摘　　要：运用时间序列对采集到的数据进行了初期建模并预测,旨在建立一个预测系统,并对钻井现场事故的发生规律及各个因素对事故影响的程度大小进行了研究,为制定安全管理目标及安全隐患的事先排查给出较为科学的依据。The time series is used in the initial modeling and forecasting of data collected to establish a predictive system, and the law of the occurrence of drilling site accidents and the extent of the influence of various factors on the accidents are studied,in order to provide a more scientific basis for the development of safety management objective and the prior investigation of safety hazards.

关 键 词：钻井事故分析 时间序列 预测系统 

分 类 号：TE142[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]