经济转型视角下城镇化与经济增长互动关系研究  

Research on Interaction between Urbanization and Economy Growth from the View of Economy Transformation

作　　者：康继军[1] 吴鹏[1] 傅蕴英[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆400044

出　　处：《重庆大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第1期1-9,共9页Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"建立区域经济发展新格局的战略研究"(11XJL001);国家社会科学基金项目"中国特色反贫困理论与实践研究"(10XJY030);国家自然科学基金重点项目"天然气资源的经济安全重大问题与对策研究"(71133007/G0301)

摘　　要：文章通过引入一个多维市场化指数作为衡量经济体制转型的制度变量,将经济体制市场化转型、城镇化与经济增长纳入一个系统进行研究,在理论机制分析基础上,建立了一个包含经济体制市场化转型、城镇化与经济增长的联立方程模型,研究经济转型背景下城镇化与经济增长的互动关系。基于2000-2012年的中国省级面板数据的实证结果表明,中国经济体制的市场化转型有效地推动了城镇化和经济增长;城镇化对经济增长有显著的促进作用;经济增长对城镇化的影响呈现出一种倒U形的曲线关系,并不是目前诸多文献认为的简单正相关关系。因此,保持合理的经济发展速度能够更好地推动城镇化平稳健康发展。By introducing a multi-dimensional marketization index as a variable of economic transformation process, the paper aims to study the interaction between marketization, urbanization and economic growth, which means that the two great reform process： marketization, urbanization, and economy growth are combined in one e- conomic system. A simultaneous equation model is built, which contains the three elements above based on the the- ory of mechanism analysis. With use of the panel data of all provinces in China from 2000 to 2012, the empirical results show that China＇ s marketization plays significant roles in urbanization and economic growth. Urbanization has obviously driven the economic growth; while the effect of economic growth on urbanization presents an inverted u-shaped curve relationship. Therefore, a reasonable rate of economic growth can better promote the stable and healthy development of urbanization.

关 键 词：市场化进程 城镇化 经济增长 经济转型 联立方程 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]