全球气候变化背景下中国工业部门对外贸易隐含碳测算分析  

Study on Carbon Emissions Embodied of Industrial Sector under the Background of Global Climate Change

作　　者：余晓泓[1] 吴婷婷[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学应用经济系,北京100081

出　　处：《科技和产业》2015年第2期1-8,23,共9页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(13YJAZH122)

摘　　要：随着经济的不断发展,气候问题也成为全球普遍面临的问题,本文运用投入产出法对2002-2010年中国工业部门出口隐含碳做了测算,研究发现我国是隐含碳的净出口国,2002年,我国净出口隐含碳4.88亿吨,到2010年增长到13.88亿吨,增长率高达184.43%,出口隐含碳较多的部门是通信设备、计算机及其他电子设备制造业,化学工业和电气、机械及器材制造业。此外,在实证研究的基础上发现我国出口隐含碳和出口贸易结构(行业对外贸易依存度、行业内贸易结构和行业对外贸易竞争力)有着密切的关系,本文对隐含碳及出口贸易结构各个指标之间的关系进行综合评价,并在此基础上提出改善贸易结构,提高技术水平以减少CO2排放等建议。As the economy develops,climate change has become a global common problem.Using input-output method,this study has estimated the carbon emissions embodied in China＇s industrial sector in 2002-2010.The result shows that China is the net exporter of embodied carbon.In2002,China＇s net exports implicit carbon emissions is 488 Mt,by 2007,China＇s net exports implicit carbon emissions is 13.88 Mt,the growth rate is as high as 184.43%.Communication equipment,computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry,chemical industry and electrical,machinery and equipment manufacturing industry create more carbon emissions than other departments.In addition,the current trade structure（industry foreign trade dependence,the trade structure in the industry,industry of foreign trade competitiveness）also has influence on embodied carbon emissions.On the basis of depth analysis,a comprehensive assessment has been made.In view of this,China should promote the transformation of trade structure and technological innovation,thus in order to achieve the purpose of developing low carbon economy.

关 键 词：工业部门 隐含碳 投入产出法 贸易结构 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]