基于多层线性模型的湖北省县域建设用地集约利用影响因素研究  

Study on the Impact Factors of Construction Land Use Intensity at County Level in Hubei Province Based on Hierarchical Linear Model

作　　者：叶青青[1] 刘艳芳[1,2] 刘耀林[1,2] 孔雪松[1] 李纪伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,湖北武汉430079 [2]武汉大学地理信息系统教育部重点实验室,湖北武汉430079

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2014年第8期33-39,F0003,共8页China Land Science

基　　金：国土资源部公益性行业科研专项项目(201111014)

摘　　要：研究目的:针对以往建设用地集约利用影响因素研究仅考虑单一区域层次的问题,尝试从县、市域两级层次分析建设用地集约利用影响因素。研究方法:综合评价法,空间自相关分析和多层线性模型。研究结果:湖北省县域建设用地集约利用的区域社会经济中心导向性比较显著;湖北省集约利用程度具有较强的空间自相关,热点区域分布在东部的武汉市中心城区,冷点区域分布在西部的恩施以及中部的襄阳、随州、荆门、天门和荆州等地市;湖北省集约利用程度受到县域和市域两个层次影响,县域层次主要受人口密度和城镇化率的影响,市域层次则受财政收入和二三产业比重的影响明显。研究结论:采用多层线性模型进行影响因素分析可以揭示不同区域层次因素对建设用地集约利用的影响;促进湖北省建设用地集约利用应从县域层次加快城镇化进程、促进人口集聚,从市域层次优化产业结构、增加和合理分配财政收入,同时根据不同区域情况制定差别化区域政策。The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact factors on construction land use intensity at county level, considering that previous studies only pay attention to factors within the single region. Methods employed include comprehensive evaluation, spatial autocorrelation and hierarchical linear model. The results indicate that the spatial differences of construction land use intensity are obvious and the orientation of the economic and social center is significant. Hierarchical linear model shows that the construction land use intensity at county level in Hubei Province was driven not only by population density and urbanization rate at county level, but also by financial revenue and the proportion of the second and third industry at city level. Hierarchical linear model can reveal impact factors at different levels on the construction land use intensity. The construction land use intensity in Hubei Province can be improved by speeding up the process of urbanization and promoting population gathering at county level, increasing financial revenue and optimizing industrial structure at city level, and establishing differential regional policy.

关 键 词：土地利用 建设用地 影响因素 综合评价法 空间自相关 多层线性模型 

分 类 号：F301.24[经济管理—产业经济]