基于农户调查的当前农村土地征收易引发的社会稳定风险评估研究  

The Study of Social Stability Risk Assessment under Current Rural Land Expropriation

作　　者：王良健[1] 陈小文[1] 刘畅[1] 张特[1] 周志武[1] 朱石牛[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2014年第11期19-29,共11页China Land Science

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(11YJA840021);国家社会科学基金项目(12BGL102);湖南省国土资源厅科技计划项目(2012-44)

摘　　要：研究目的:建立农村土地征收过程中的社会稳定风险评估指标体系,对当前农村土地征收易引发的社会稳定风险进行评估,为防范和化解土地征收引发的社会稳定风险提供参考依据。研究方法:问卷调查法、事故树分析法、AHP法及综合评判法。研究结果:(1)当前土地征收易引发的社会稳定风险值为67.672%,达到重大风险等级;(2)补偿安置环节的社会稳定风险值最大,达到75.033%,其次为土地征收环节和生产生活环节。研究结论:(1)从土地征收环节、补偿安置环节、生产生活环节出发构建的社会稳定风险评估指标体系具有可操作性,评估结果符合当前实际;(2)当前土地征收政策应重点在创新征地补偿安置方式、依法界定征地补偿对象资格等方面予以完善。The paper is to establish a risk assessment index system of social stability in rural land expropriation, evaluate social stability risk by involving household survey. Methods of the questionnaire, fault tree analysis, AHP and comprehensive evaluation are employed. The results show that the value of social stability risk in current rural land expropriation is reached to 67.672% statistically significant. Second, the process of land acquisition has the highest social stability risk, and the risk index reached to 75.033%. The paper suggests the social stability risk assessment system is feasible and practical. More importantly, land acquisition policy shall focus on the proper compensation, resettlement and qualification of compensation for land expropriation.

关 键 词：土地制度 土地征收 事故树分析法 社会稳定 风险评估 

分 类 号：F301.1[经济管理—产业经济]