马鞍山市土地精明利用数量结构研究  

Quantity Structure of Smart Land Use in Maanshan City

作　　者：王慎敏[1] 杨齐祺[2] 王丹丹[1] 张余庆[1] 刘文琦[1] 杨悉廉[3] 

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学遥感学院,江苏南京210044 [2]合肥工业大学土木与水利工程学院,安徽合肥230009 [3]安徽省国土资源储备发展中心,安徽合肥230022

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2014年第11期74-80,共7页China Land Science

基　　金：安徽省国土资源科技项目(2011-K-24);国家自然科学基金项目(40901297)

摘　　要：研究目的:基于精明增长理论,提出土地精明利用内涵及特点,从数量结构角度探讨土地精明利用方式。研究方法:灰色多目标动态规划模型和灰色关联度分析法。研究结果:与2010年相比,2020年马鞍山市的林地、交通用地、水利设施用地、城镇用地应分别增加0.50%、44.80%、2.69%、1.65%,耕地、园地、草地、农村居民点用地、独立工矿用地和其他用地应分别减少0.58%、4.75%、6.88%、2.43%、10.30%、1.10%,此时土地利用结构达到最优。研究结论:基于灰色多目标模型得出的土地精明利用方案增强了土地利用决策的灵活性,可为区域土地开发、利用、保护与整治提供指导。The purpose of this study is to put forward the meaning and characteristics of smart land use based on the theory of smart growth from the perspective of land quantity structure. Methods of gray multi-objective and dynamic programming model and gray correlation analysis are employed. The result indicates that compared with 2010, forest land, land for transportation, water conservancy facilities, urban land of Maanshan city shall increase by 0.50%, 44.80%, 2.69% and 1.65% in 2020, respectively. Farmland, garden plot, grassland, rural residential land, independent industrial and mining land and other lands shall decrease by 0.58%, 4.75%, 6.88%, 2.43%, 10.30% and 1.10%, which is the optimized structure. The conclusion of this study is that the smart land use scheme based on the gray multi-objective model is reasonable which adds to the flexibility of land use decisions, providing scientific guide for regional land development, utilization, protection and improvement.

关 键 词：土地利用 结构精明 灰色多目标 马鞍山市 

分 类 号：F301.24[经济管理—产业经济]