中国与中亚农产品贸易影响因素分析  

Influencing Factors of Agricultural Products Trade between China and Central Asian

作　　者：王淑漪[1] 梁丹辉[1] 李志强[1] 李婷婷[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室/中国农业科学院智能化农业预警技术与系统重点开放实验室,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2014年第12期65-69,共5页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划课题(2012BAH20B04)

摘　　要：随着中国与中亚五国的经贸合作日益密切,农业合作逐渐成为双边和多边合作的重点。运用修正的引力模型,通过需求因素、供给因素与贸易阻力因素,对中国与中亚农产品贸易的影响因素进行分析。研究表明,中国国内因素、中亚五国经济发展水平与国民购买力一定程度上促进了中国与中亚之间的农产品贸易;农产品的易腐性、鲜活性等特点决定了运输距离对农产品贸易具有显著的负向影响;中国对中亚五国的技术援助决定了农产品贸易额与两国关系紧密度呈负相关。With the increasingly closed trade and economic cooperation between China and five Central Asian countries, agricultural cooperation has gradually become the focus of the bilateral and multilateral cooperation. The authors applied the modified gravity model to analyze the influencing factors of agricultural products trade between China and Central Asian, including demand, supply and trade resistance. In conclusion, China＇s domestic factors and Central Asian＇s GDP and purchasing power boosted their agricultural trade to some extent. Because of the perishability and freshness of agricultural products, transport distance had a negative effect on the trade. Technical aid given by China led to the negative correlation between two counties＇ agricultural products trade and their relationship.

关 键 词：中国 中亚 农产品贸易 影响因素 贸易引力模型 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.7