基于公众咨询的深圳公共气象服务需求特点分析  

Analysis on the Characteristics of Demands for Public Meteorological Services in Shenzhen Based on Public-consultation

作　　者：陈申鹏 徐文文[1] 李磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]深圳市国家气候观象台,广东深圳518040

出　　处：《气象与减灾研究》2014年第4期62-67,共6页Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research

基　　金：深圳市基础研究项目(编号:JCYJ20130325151523015)

摘　　要：以2010—2013年深圳市气象局门户网站"业务咨询"板块公众咨询信息和深圳国家基本气象站观测资料为基础,从咨询量的时间变化规律、与多种气象因素的关联性等角度,对公共气象服务需求的特点进行分析,以揭示公众的公共气象服务需求在时间和要素上存在的规律和特征。结果表明:1)汛期是一年中市民最为关注天气的时段,周三和周五是一周内公众气象信息需求最大的时段;汛期市民最关注的天气是台风,秋、冬季节市民更为关注气候预测信息。2)市民高度关注降水,其精细化和个性化预报仍有很大提升空间;对相对湿度的关注,主要源于对"回南天"等潮湿天气的关注;日照时数与公众咨询密切相关,但主要通过降水间接影响;市民较少咨询气温,但在炎热、寒冷天气下,气温与市民咨询量表现出明显的相关性。Based on the public consultation data collected through the official website of Meteorological Bureau of Shenzhen Municipality and the meteorological observation data of Shenzhen national basic synoptic station from 2010 to 2013, the analysis on the temporal variation of consultation quantity, and the correlation between the consultation quantity and meteorological elements were performed to reveal the characteristics of temporal and elemental demand for public meteorological services. Based on the results, it shows that： 1） The flood season is the most concerned period of weather information for publics. On Wednesday and Friday, there is a maximum public meteorological information demand. During flood season, The typhoon is the focus of public concern. In autumn and winter, citizens pay more attention to the climatic tendency prediction. 2） In the aspect of meteorological factors concerned, citizens pay more attention to the fine forecast of precipitation. The relative humidity also is a focus due to the so called ＂Hui Nan Tian＂ which means a rather wet weather in spring in southern China. Sunshine hours and public consultation are closely related to precipitation, but mainly through indirect effects. People rarely consulted temperature unless encounter hot,cold weather.

关 键 词：公共气象服务 公众咨询 需求 信息 

分 类 号：P49[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]