智力城镇化还是体力城镇化——对中国城镇化的战略思考  

Intelligent Urbanization or Labor Urbanization:Strategic Thinking on Urbanization Path of China

作　　者：吴志强[1] 杨秀[2] 刘伟[2] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学建筑与城市规划学院城市规划系,高密度人居环境生态与节能教育部重点实验室 [2]同济大学建筑与城市规划学院城市规划系

出　　处：《城市规划学刊》2015年第1期15-23,共9页Urban Planning Forum

摘　　要：基于对2012年世界各国或地区人均GDP和城镇化率关系研究,揭示城镇化率超过50%的国家或地区在走向稳定城镇化过程中,逐渐出现"Y"型道路分化趋势——Stand道路和Lay道路,即依靠智力创新的"智力城镇化"道路,和依靠资源环境、廉价劳动力的"体力城镇化"道路,并构建了智力城镇化和体力城镇化区别的理论架构。研究指出城镇化率65%左右是决定城镇化道路是向"智力"还是"体力"发展的关键点。随后通过对G20国家1960-2012年以后的城镇化率与国家智力产出、智力投入、智力主体要素的发展变化研究,实证了智力城镇化和体力城镇化道路的主要区别。最后,结合中国发展状况,指出智力城镇化道路是未来中国的必然选择。Based on researches of the relationship between GDP per capita and ur- banization ratio in the world in 2012, this thesis puts forwards two concepts of urbanization characterizing different paths of development facing countries which have passed the 50% urbanization ratio threshold the ＂Stand＂ path or the ＂Lay＂ path. The ＂Stand＂ path leads to intelligence and innovation centered ＂Intelli- gent Urbanization＂, while the ＂Lay＂ path leads to ＂Labor Urbanization＂, which re- lics heavily on the consumption of natural resource and cheap labor. The theoreti- cal framework on the differential between intelligent urbanization and labor urban- ization has been formed in the thesis and it is revealed that the urbanization ratio of 65% is the turning point at the Y-shaped crossroad of either the ＂intelligent＂ or ＂labor＂ urbanization path. The research examines the relationship between ur- banization ratio and national intellectural output, input, human resources and insti- tution in G20 countries during 1960-2012, and the findings illustrate the major dif- ferences between intelligent urbanization and labor urbanization. The research con- cludes that the development status of China determines that intelligent urbaniza- tion is the inevitable and natural choice of future China.

关 键 词：分化 智力城镇化 体力城镇化 区别 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济]