关于西非埃博拉疫情态势预测研究的总结分析  

Review of Researches on the Projection of Ebola Dynamics in Western Africa

作　　者：徐致靖[1] 徐展凯 刘列[1] 祖正虎[1] 郑涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]军事医学科学院生物工程研究所,北京100071

出　　处：《生物技术通讯》2015年第1期22-32,共11页Letters in Biotechnology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(90924019);国家高技术研究发展计划(2012AA022007);"艾滋病和病毒性肝炎等重大传染病防治"国家科技重大专项(2013ZX10004605;2012ZX10004402);全军医学科技"十二五"科研项目(AWS11L009);病原微生物生物安全国家重点实验室开放研究基金(SKLPBS1433)

摘　　要：西非埃博拉疫情态势预测作为计算流行病学的一次重要实践,显示出计算流行病学在应急资源配置、应急响应策略决策方面的重要价值。本文梳理回顾了2014年计算流行病学在西非埃博拉疫情态势预测方面的研究情况,对主要进展进行了总结分析,并对我国公共卫生应急能力建设提出了建议。The projection of Ebola dynamics in western Africa is an important practice to computational epidemiology and has showed itssignificant value in the allocation of emergency resources and the decision-making of emergency preparedness strategies. In this article, the efforts of computational epidemiology on the projection of Ebola dynamics in western Africa in 2014 were reviewed and the relevant main results were summarized and analyzed. These reviews and summaries are hoped to inspire the development of the construction of the responding capacity of public health emergency in our country.

关 键 词：埃博拉 计算流行病学 公共卫生 传染病建模 

分 类 号：R18[医药卫生—流行病学]