两岸农产品贸易动态比较优势实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of Dynamic Comparative Advantage of the Cross-Strait Agricultural Trade

作　　者：谢国娥[1] 王凤玲[2] 杨逢珉[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237 [2]上海交通大学数学系,上海200240

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2015年第1期68-78,共11页Taiwan Research Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目"两岸农产品贸易竞争关系及ECFA框架下的合作"(12BJY009);教育部人文社科基金规划项目"两岸农产品贸易竞争关系研究及ECFA框架下的合作"(12YJAGAT002);中央高校基本科研业务费(WN1222001)

摘　　要：基于2001—2012数据和显示性对称比较优势指数(RSCA),运用散点图和非参数核密度估计统计方法,实证分析两岸农产品贸易比较优势的动态变化。结果显示:大陆农产品的比较优势在恶化,农产品出口贸易越来越集中在少数具有比较优势的产品上;台湾农产品基本上不具有比较优势,但是2007年以来比较优势有改善趋势;在双边贸易中,大陆对台湾出口农产品的比较优势总体上呈上升趋势,具有比较优势的产品在增加,而台湾对大陆农产品贸易则不具有比较优势,但是在统计期间出口专业化程度明显下降,比较优势趋于改善。Based on the data of 2001-2012 and RSCA index, the paper uses the scatter diagrams and the nonparametric kernel density estimation statistical method to empirically analyze the dynamic changes of the comparative advantage of the agricultural trade between the two sides. The findings show that the comparative advantage of the mainland agricultural trade is deteriorating and the export of its agricultural products is focusing on a few products with comparative advantage while Taiwan ag- ricultural products do not basically have a comparative advantage, but the advantage has been somewhat improved since 2007. In bilateral trade, the overall advantage of the mainland agricultural products exported to Taiwan is on the rise and the products with comparative advantages are increasing whereas the Taiwan agricultural products to mainland have no comparative advantages, but the export specialization degree is obviously on the decline during the statistical period. However, the comparative advantage tends to improve.

关 键 词：两岸 农产品贸易 动态比较优势 散点图 非参数核密度估计 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]