城镇化与工业化互动发展的协调性与驱动力研究——来自四川省21个市州的经验证据  

The Study of Coordination and Driving Power of the Interactive Development between Industrialization and Urbanization— Empirical Evidences from 21 Cities of Sichuan Province

作　　者：王丽英[1] 王庆瑞[1] 

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学管理科学学院,成都610059

出　　处：《西部论坛》2015年第2期1-9,共9页West Forum

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目(12XJY018);四川省软科学计划项目(2014ZR0012)

摘　　要：城镇化与工业化互动协调发展是城乡经济发展的一个主要问题。在构建新型城镇化和新型工业化评价指标体系的基础上,采用四川省21个市州2007—2012年相关数据,运用"协调度—协调发展度模型"和灰色系统模型GM(1,N),对城镇化与工业化互动发展的协调性进行评价,并揭示其内在驱动力,结果表明:四川省城镇化与工业化互动发展的协调度与协调发展度处于不断提高的过程中,21个市州工业化发展对城镇化与工业化互动协调发展均起着促进作用,但经济发展水平极高和极低市州的城镇化发展对城镇化与工业化互动协调发展具有制约作用。因此,应以工业化带动城镇化发展,制定差别化的城镇化与工业化互动发展政策,全面深化制度改革,形成城镇化与工业化互动协调发展的良性机制。The coordinating and interactive development between industrialization and urbanization is a main issue of urban and rural economic development. This paper builds coordination degree-coordinating development degree model and grey system model GM （1, N）based on the data of 21 cities of Sichuan province to evaluate the coordination degree and to reveal the internal driving power. The results show that： the coordination degree and coordinating development degree presents a continual rising tendency; in all the 21 cities, the industrialization development generally promotes the coordinated development; however, the urbanization development of cities with extremely high or low economic development restricts the coordinated development. Therefore, with industrialization driving urbanization, it is necessary to make different policies in different city and deepen reform overall to construct positive mechanism of coordinating and interactive development between industrialization and urbanization.

关 键 词：城镇化与工业化互动 协调度 协调发展度 新型城镇化 新型工业化 驱动力模型 要素供需均衡 要素流动 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济] F424