浅层地下水源地非汛期动态过程预警方法研究  

Early Warning Method in Dynamic Process of Shallow Groundwater Source Area in Non-Flood Seasons

作　　者：王俊[1] 曹升乐[1] 宋少文 查治荣 

机构地区：[1]山东大学土建与水利学院,山东济南250061 [2]山东省水文水资源勘测局,山东济南250002 [3]胶南市水文局,山东胶南266400

出　　处：《人民黄河》2015年第3期58-61,共4页Yellow River

基　　金：水利部公益性行业科研专项(201201116)

摘　　要：应用多元线性回归方法建立地下水位变幅预测模型,并提出了点预警、过程预警、静态预警和动态预警等基本概念。在此基础上,对浅层地下水源地非汛期动态过程预警方法进行研究,得到动态地下水位和月开采量警戒线计算公式,并以胶南市风河为例进行动态过程预警管理。结果表明,风河水源地2010—2011年非汛期中有3个月的初始地下水位需要发布预警,非汛期末建议适当增加开采,为下一步汛期预警的地下水来水补给预留储水空间,以增大汛期的地下水可利用量。This paper applied the method of multiple linear regression analysis to obtain the prediction model of variation in groundwater level. Meanwhile,it presented some basic concepts including point early warning,process early warning,static early warning,dynamic early warning,etc. On this basis,it studied on the early warning method in dynamic process in non- flood season and obtained the calculation formulas of the dynamic alert lines of monthly initial groundwater level and exploitation. Finally it took Fenghe River Shallow Groundwater Source Area for an example to apply the method of dynamic early warning management. The results show that early alerts need to be issued for the monthly initial groundwater levels in three months of the 2010- 2011 flood seasons. It is also suggested that exploitation of groundwater should be enhanced by the end of the non- flood seasons so as to make room for the groundwater recharge and make better utilization of groundwater in the following flood season.

关 键 词：地下水 水源地 非汛期 动态过程预警 风河 

分 类 号：P641.8[天文地球—地质矿产勘探]