基于多步变权组合法的我国国内旅游人数预测  

Forecasting Domestic Tourists Based on the Method of Multi-step Variable Weight Combination

作　　者：汤杰[1] 王祖静[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学地理科学学院,上海200241

出　　处：《安徽农学通报》2015年第5期6-8,19,共4页Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin

摘　　要：该文提出了多步变权重组合预测方法,综合考虑多种单项模型,对我国国内旅游人数进行了分析与预测,研究结果表明所提出的组合预测方法比单项预测方法更加科学合理,具有可行性。This article has presented the method of multi-step variable weight combination forecasting by considering many individual models. In order to analysis and forecast the number of domestic tourists. The research result shows that the proposed combination forecast method is more reasonable and scientific than each individual model. And it is also feasible.

关 键 词：国内旅游 变权 二次规划 组合预测 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]