竞争性农产品价格短期骤变的政府规制研究  

Regulating Short Term Price Fluctuations of Competitive Agricultural Products

作　　者：董建新[1] 程龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学公共管理学院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《农林经济管理学报》2015年第1期28-37,共10页Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究攻关项目(14GBL106)

摘　　要：竞争性农产品价格发生剧烈变动时如何引致政府规制,是近年来研究农产品价格炒作不可回避的问题。运用案例分析的三角测量法,对大量的访谈资料进行编码分析,归结出竞争性农产品短期价格波动原因、规制动因、规制措施、价格波动原因与规制动因的关系、规制动因与规制措施的关系等。研究发现:竞争性农产品短期价格波动主要受供求因素、小额农产品禀赋和经济利益的带动,国民福利是竞争性农产品短期价格波动生成的主要规制动因,行政手段是竞争性农产品短期价格波动发生时催生出的规制动因的主要执行方式。基于此,提出竞争性农产品短期价格波动影响政府规制的传导模型并讨论相应的政策启示。How the high volatility of competitive agricultural products triggers governmental regulation is an ineluctable problem that scholars encounter when studying agricultural price speculation. With the triangle measuring method,the paper analyzed coding data,and concluded the reasons for short term price fluctuations in the competitive agricultural products,the reasons for regulation,the main types of regulatory measures,the relationship between the reasons for short-term price fluctuations in the competitive agricultural products and the reasons for regulation,and the connection between the reasons for regulation and the main types of regulatory measures.The key finding is that： supply and demand,small endowment of agricultural products,and economic interests are the main factors that cause short-term fluctuations in the competitive agricultural prices.Regulations are primarily caused by national welfare and direct administrative intervention is the primary means of regulation.After the processing of the entire data,a model was established to demonstrate the relationships among the five above mentioned factors,which also shows how the high volatility of competitive agricultural products triggers governmental regulation.Finally related policy implications were discussed.

关 键 词：竞争性农产品 价格波动 微观规制 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]