新疆城镇贫困的测度及影响因素分析  

Analysis of Urban Poverty Measurement and Influencing Factors in Xinjiang

作　　者：张庆红[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学统计与信息学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《石河子大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2015年第1期25-30,共6页Journal of Shihezi University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"新疆益贫式增长测度及影响因素研究"(71363050);教育部人文社科基金项目"新疆多维益贫式增长判断及路径选择"(13XJJC790001)

摘　　要：该文利用2002—2013年新疆城镇居民可支配收入分组数据,计算了新疆城镇FGT贫困指数,并在此基础上对贫困指数进行分解,探索经济增长、收入分配和贫困线变动对城镇贫困变动的影响。结果表明,2002—2013年,新疆城镇FGT贫困指数大体经历了三个峰值,总体呈下降趋势,基尼系数先升后降,2010年以后下降速度尤为明显。对FGT指数分解后发现,经济增长对降低贫困规模和贫困严重程度效果明显,收入分配的改善对降低贫困人口内部不平等程度效果最好,贫困线上升导致的FGT指数上升幅度与经济增长降低FGT贫困指数幅度大体相当。为有效解决新疆城镇贫困问题,应继续实施快速的经济增长和对穷人有利的收入分配相结合的反贫困战略。Using disposable income of urban residents grouping data from 2002 to 2013,the paper calculates the FGT poverty index and explores the impact of economic growth, income distribution and poverty line changes on the change of urban poverty through decomposition of poverty index. The results show that FGT urban poverty index experienced three peaks and overall downward trends from 2002 to 2013, the Gene coefficient declines after a rise during the recession, and declination is obvious after 2010. The effect of economic growth to reduce poverty scale and severity is obvious, the effect of improvement of income distribution is best for reducing the inequality among the poor. The effect of poverty line to FGT index and the effect of economic growth to FGT poverty index is roughly equal. The government should implement the anti-poverty strategy that at the same time fuels rapid economic growth and optimizes the income distribution of the poor to solve the poverty problem in urban Xinjiang effectively.

关 键 词：新疆城镇贫困 经济增长 收入分配 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] D632.1[政治法律—政治学]