农户究竟需要多大的农地经营规模?——农地经营规模决策图谱研究  

What Is the Proper Land Management Scale Really Needed by Farmers?

作　　者：倪国华[1] 蔡昉[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京工商大学经济学院,100048 [2]中国社会科学院,100732

出　　处：《经济研究》2015年第3期159-171,共13页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(批准号:14ZDA034);北京社会科学基金面上项目(项目编号:13JGB116);中国博士后科学基金第55批面上资助项目(项目编号:2014M550126)的资助

摘　　要：在农地经营规模不断集中成为不可逆转之发展趋势的背景下,仍陷于"反向关系"还是"规模报酬递增"的争论已无太大意义,尊重农户自身意愿并借助市场力量实现农地经营规模的逐步集中,成为未来顶层设计的基本共识。基于此,本文从微观视角出发,利用国家统计局2004年、2005年、2007年、2009年及2012年农村住户调查面板数据,从如何实现家庭劳动禀赋和土地禀赋的最大化利用这一家庭决策视角,定量回答了"农户究竟需要多大的农地经营规模"这一核心问题,进而给出了农户视角的"农地经营规模决策图谱"。此类图谱在以往国内外相关文献中从未见到,对于中国未来的宏观决策具有较强的参考意义。Under the irreversible trend of that the agricultural land management scale has been centralizing, it does not make sense of still being caught in the argument of＂inverse relationship＂ or＂ increasing returns to scale＂. It has become a basic consensus of future top-level design to respect the wishes of farmers and to achieve agricultural concentration gradually with the help of market forces. Therefore, from the micro perspective, this paper will answer the question of＂ What is the proper land management scale really needed by farmers？＂ with the help of the rural household survey panel data of 2004, 2005,2007, 2009, and 2012 conducted by National Bureau of Statistics, and thus gives the decision mapping for agricultural land management scale from the perspective of farmers. Such kind of decision mapping has never been seen in relevant literatures, but it has a strong reference value for future macroeconomic policy-making.

关 键 词：农地经营规模 决策图谱 反向关系 规模报酬递增 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]