九江沿江开放开发与环境污染关系的实证分析  

Empirical Study on the Relationship between the Development along the Yangtze River and Its Environmental Pollution in Jiujiang City

作　　者：杨期勇[1] 陶春元[1] 尹科[1] 

机构地区：[1]九江学院鄱阳湖生态经济研究中心,江西九江332005

出　　处：《生态经济》2015年第4期156-160,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：2012年江西省高校哲学社会科学重大招标项目"九江沿江开放开发对策研究";江西省社会科学"十二五"(2011年)规划项目(11YJ20)

摘　　要：九江作为中部崛起战略的节点城市,江西省唯一临江港口城市,其沿江152公里岸线将成为带动九江经济发展的核心板块。而区域内资源承载力、环境容纳力能否支持其经济发展的速度与力度,采取何种措施应对可能出现的生态环境问题,是进行区域开发的前提。文章采用多项式回归分析方法,通过对经济指标和环境污染指标之间进行拟合分析,对九江"十二五"期间的污染排放进行了预测,并据此提出了九江沿江开放开发与生态环境之间的协调策略。As a node city under the ＂Rise of central china＂ strategy and the only city which has port in Jiangxi province, Jiujiang＇s 152 kilometers of coastline will be the core plate of economic development. But the question is that how should we handle the relationship between the economic development and environmental pollution？ The economic indicators and environmental indicators were disposed by binary regression analysis method in this article, and then the pollution emissions in year 2011-2015 were predicted. Finally, the coordination strategy between the development along Yangtze River of Jiujiang and its ecological environment protection were put forward.

关 键 词：九江沿江开放开发 环境污染 实证分析 协调策略 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]