基于漂移度的动态组合评价方法研究  

A Dynamic Combinational Evaluation Method Based on Drift

作　　者：李美娟[1] 陈国宏[1] 徐林明[1] 欧忠辉[1] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350116

出　　处：《中国管理科学》2015年第1期141-145,共5页Chinese Journal of Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71403055);福建省社科基金项目(2014C126;2012A014);福建省软科学研究项目(2014R0057;2013R0063)

摘　　要：为了解决多种动态评价方法评价结论非一致性问题,提出动态组合评价方法。以相容动态评价方法集为基础对不同动态评价方法的漂移性进行测度研究,提出了基于漂移度的动态组合评价方法。最后用一个实例说明本研究实际应用上的有效性。基于漂移度的动态组合评价方法对解决多种动态评价方法评价结论非一致性问题提供了思路,是综合评价方法研究的有益补充,可以利用该方法进行应用研究。A dynamic combinational evaluation method is proposed in order to get rid of the inconsistency among evaluation results from different dynamic evaluation methods.The concept of drift is defined in this paper.A set of dynamic combinational evaluations are obtained based on the compatible dynamic methods.A dynamic combinational evaluation method based on drift is proposed.In this practice,a dynamic combinational evaluation is conducted on the independent innovation capabilities of the provinces in east China.The source data of the evaluation indicators for the regional technological innovation capacities come from Chinese statistics yearbook,Chinese science and technology statistics yearbook,and the web site of People＇s Republic of China Ministry of Science and Technology which provides a database with the major indicators for the science and technology in China.Such an evaluation,as an instance,shows that the findings of this work are practically effective.The method proposed in this study provides an idea in dealing with the inconsistency among dynamic evaluation results,helpfully complements the comprehensive evaluation method,and facilitates the researches in related fields.

关 键 词：动态评价 组合评价 相容动态评价方法集 漂移度 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]