中国煤炭流动格局与利用效率的空间关联分析  

The Analysis of the Coal Flow Pattern and the Spatial Association of Coal Utilization Efficiency in China

作　　者：车亮亮[1,2] 韩雪[1] 武春友[2] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院,中国辽宁大连116029 [2]大连理工大学生态规划与发展研究所,中国辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《经济地理》2015年第2期134-140,共7页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重大国际(地区)合作项目(71320107006)

摘　　要：在煤炭市场更加开放的背景下,各地区间煤炭价格联系和煤炭贸易关系更加密切。在对中国煤炭产消格局和区域间供求平衡分析的基础上,运用空间均衡模型分析区域煤炭流动格局合理性,研究表明:中国煤炭严重短缺趋势仍将持续,煤炭流动格局日趋合理。同时,运用探索性空间数据分析方法对中国各地区万元GDP煤炭消耗量的空间关联特征进行分析,研究表明:中国各地区万元GDP煤炭消耗量存在明显的空间集聚性,全国各地区的煤炭资源利用效率均在不断提升;煤炭由资源利用效率低且经济欠发达地区流向资源利用效率高且经济较发达地区,煤炭资源赋存和煤炭利用效率与经济发展水平均呈负相关。Under the background of the more open coal market, there is a closer relationship between the contact of the inter- regional coal prices and the contact of the coal trade relations. Based on analyzing the patterns of coal production and consumption the balance of inter- regional supply and demand in China, the rationality of inter- regional coal flow pattern is analyzed by the spatial equilibrium model, the results showed that： in China the coal flow pattern is becoming more rational, but the severe shortage of coal trend will continue. Meanwhile, the spatial correlation characteristic of the inter-regional coal consumption of GDP per ten thousand yuan in China is analyzed by using the exploratory spatial data analysis method, the results showed that： there is an obvious spatial aggregation about the coal consumption of GDP per ten thousand yuan of each region in China; the coal resources use efficiency is rising in all regions; the coal is from the regions of the inefficient use of resources and underdeveloped economy to the regions of the efficient use of resources and developed economy; the reserves of coal resources and the coal use efficiency negatively correlate with the level of economic development.

关 键 词：空间均衡模型 探索性空间数据分析 万元GDP煤炭消耗量 流动格局 煤炭价格 

分 类 号：F407.21[经济管理—产业经济]